Tracking Electoral Trends & Political Realignments

2008 Presidential Election in Minnesota vs 2020 Presidential Election in Minnesota

Election Coverage

President

Election Forecast analyzes polls and debates/town halls in both Presidential Primaries and the General Election for President. Predicting margins and following trends in all 50 US States but focusing more on perennial and emerging swing states. Election Forecaster follows voting patterns and polling data to analyze political realignments at the top of the ticket.

Example Races: President (Primaries, Caucuses, Conventions, General Elections)

Congress

Election Forecaster monitors key developments in all 435 Congressional Districts and 100 Senate Seats. Election Forecaster rates candidate recruitment in competitive districts/states and predicts outcomes in primaries and general elections. Election Forecaster also reports on candidates’ financial hauls, expenditures, and cash on hand. Elections for Delegate/Resident Commissioner for US Territories and Washington DC are also followed closely.

Example Races: US House of Representatives (Voting and Non-Voting Members), US Senate

Statewide Offices

Election Forecaster covers every single election for statewide office in all 50 US States! Occasionally covering elections in certain US Territories but only for the highest offices. Powerful commissions and governing councils that are elected by individual districts instead of statewide are also closely monitored by Election Forecaster.

Example Races: Governor, Treasurer, Executive Council, Attorney General, Secretary of State, Auditor

State Legislatures

Election Forecaster follows bellwether state legislative races across the country in both upper and lower chambers (as well as Nebraska’s unicameral legislature)! Though races in competitive chambers are usually given more attention. Each election cycle Election Forecaster predicts the partisan outcomes of every legislative chamber on the ballot.

Example Races: State Senate, State Assembly, State House

Judicial Office

Election Forecaster tracks judicial elections in every single US State. Although high-level state courts in battleground states receive more coverage, lower courts in uncompetitive states are also followed. Both partisan and nonpartisan races are reported on as well as nominations made to fill court vacancies.

Example Races: State Supreme Courts, State Court of Appeals

Local Office

Election Forecaster covers high-profile local races across the country in key jurisdictions from big cities to bellwether counties! Election Forecter tracks partisan control of local governments and assesses the impact of local elections on races further up the ballot.

Example Races: City Council, Mayor, Town Clerk, Town Supervisor, County Comptroller, County Executive

Election Ratings

Election Forecaster, in addition to its in depth analysis, provides ratings for high profile elections. These ratings reveal the likely winners of each of these elections as well as the likely margin of victory. Election Forecaster provides election ratings for all Federal Contests (including Presidential election ratings for each US State) as well as ratings for all Statewide Offices. Occasionally, Election Forecaster provides ratings for some judicial and state legislative contests.

Redistricting

Redistricting news is one of the most vital areas of our election coverage at Election Forecaster. Redistricting, in most cases, pre-determines the outcome of Congressional and state legislative elections. This is more accurate now than ever before with the existence of advanced election tracking technology which can more accurately predict election outcomes over ten year periods, preventing “dumbymanders.” Additionally, a change in redistricting dynamics has made following the process more important than ever. Now that court cases are dragged across multiple election cycles each day redistricting has become a year after year process instead of a decennial one. Election Forecaster tracks court cases across the nation that deal with Congressional, state legislative, and county commission/legislative maps. Election Forecast also follows the remedial redrawing process that occurs after maps are struck down. Population trends are also monitored closely to give an early indication of what reapportionment will look like ahead of time.

Election Calendar

Never miss an election! The Election Forecaster election calendar includes election dates such as primaries, caucuses, runoffs, and conventions. Special election dates as well as the general election dates for local elections (can vary – not just November) are also included on the calendar. Filing deadlines for major offices are also recorded to keep track of the field developing in important races.