Author: electionforecaster
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Republican Sid Edwards Flips East Baton Rouge Parish Mayor-President in a Shocking Upset
Republican Sid Edwards, a high school football coach, defeated incumbent mayor-president Democrat Sharon Weston Broome in a massive upset. Only a month after Kamala Harris scored an 11% point win (54%-43%) over Donald Trump in East Baton Rouge Parish Republicans have done what many thought was unthinkable, flipping the Mayor-President position in Saturday’s December Runoff… Read more
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Dave Sunday Cruises to Victory in Pennsylvania’s Attorney General Race, Flipping Control of the Office from Blue to Red
Attorney General-elect Dave Sunday, who ran as a tough on crime prosecutor, defeated former Auditor Eugene DePasquale Republican Dave Sunday, a US Navy Veteran, flipped Pennsylvania’s Attorney General’s office from Democrat to Republican by a commanding margin. The current Attorney General Republican-turned Democrat Michelle Henry was appointed to the position in 2023 after Josh Shapiro… Read more
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Despite Trump’s Victory, Cumberland County Democrats Crawl Back From The Brink
A map depicting Cumberland County, New Jersey (left) and the county’s precinct level election results from the 2020 Presidential Race (right). Trump flipped Cumberland, becoming the first Republican to win the County since George HW Bush in 1988. Cumberland County was long a fortress for the South Jersey Democratic Political Machine run by local powerbroker… Read more
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Congressman Jeff Jackson, Target of Republican Gerrymander, Successfully Pivots to Victory in North Carolina Attorney General Race
Jeff Jackson, long considered a rising star in North Carolina Politics, put up an impressive display in North Carolina’s Attorney General Race, holding it for Democrats. Jeff Jackson defeated Republican Dan Bishop in North Carolina’s Attorney General Race, maintaining a Democratic winning streak that stretches back over a century. Even as Donald Trump defeated Kamala… Read more
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Rob Bresnahan Flips Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District Defeating Longtime Democratic Incumbent, Amid Trump Surge in Northeastern Pennsylvania
Rob Bresnahan flipped a Congressional Seat in North Eastern Pennsylvania, an ancestral Democratic area that has trended significantly to the right in the Trump Era. In a big victory for House Republicans Rob Bresnahan defeated incumbent Democrat Matt Cartwright in Pennslyvania’s highly competitive 8th Congressional District. Cartwright, a partner at a local law firm before… Read more
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Angie Craig Overperforms Harris Significantly, Boosting Statewide Credentials
Congresswoman Angie Craig scored an impressive performance in her re-election campaign for Minnesota’s 2nd Congressional District Congresswoman Angie Craig is on her way back to Washington after putting up an impressive overperformance in her re-election campaign. Craig who was first elected in the blue wave of 2018 was considered a top target for Republicans at… Read more
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Michelle Steele Faces Her Most Difficult Race Yet as Vietnamese Opponent Puts Her on Defence
Congresswoman Michelle Steel, is facing stronger headwinds than originally expected as her opponent threatens her grip on a key constituency in California’s 45th Congressional DIstrict. At the start of the cycle Michelle Steel was considered one of the safer Biden District Republicans but the district’s partisan lean at the top of the ticket in addition… Read more
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Democrats Overperform in New Jersey Special Election Despite Talk of Black Voter Slippage
Congresswoman-Elect LaMonica McIver, a Democrat, won the special election to succeed the late Donald Payne Jr. in New Jersey’s 10th Congressional District Despite talk of the Democratic Party facing a slippage in Black voter support, particularly in urban areas, the special election on Tuesday night in a majority black Congressional District based in Newark failed… Read more
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Shocking Selzer Poll Finds Kamala Harris Only Narrowly Trailing in Iowa
Kamala Harris sits for an interview in Muscatine, Iowa ahead of the Iowa Caucus during the 2020 Democratic Party Presidential Primaries. Iowa has drifted away from Democrats in recent cycles but a new poll shows Harris narrowing the gap. Iowa Democrats have experienced a 12 year drought in Federal Races and that is likely to… Read more
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Special Election: Florida Democrats Have Golden Opportunity to Demonstrate Resurgence as Tom Keen Faces Erika Booth in Toss-up Race for Florida’s 35th State House District
Democrat Tom Keen, a decorated 21-year military veteran, is hoping to flip Florida’s 35th State House District in the January 16th, special election. Keen has run as a moderate Democrat in this suburban Orlando district. Republican State Representative Fred Hawkins, a staunch ally of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis, vacated Florida’s 35th State House District after… Read more